Forecasting under uncertainty. Energy markets now, estuaries before.
I build probabilistic forecasts and work on how their uncertainty should change a decision. Before energy I forecast low-oxygen events and algal blooms in estuaries with Bayesian models.
Selected
Forecasting hypoxia and algal blooms in estuariesPhD research, Neuse River Estuary and Gulf of MexicoEffects of hypoxia and other factors on the spatial distributions of brown and white shrimp on the Louisiana shelfMarine and Coastal Fisheries, 2025Temporally resolved coastal hypoxia forecasting and uncertainty assessment via Bayesian mechanistic modelingHydrology and Earth System Sciences, 2022